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misty1
Supreme Champion!

Registered: Sep 2011
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Posts: 6002

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan


I don't know where you find your statistics, but if you bet against Homan, you're a fool.



ill remember that if tracy wins. As said above im not saying tracy will win but to write her off completely isnt exactly smart

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:01PM
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CaptMorgan
Drawmaster

Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: LOL

quote:
Originally posted by misty1
laugh and call it what you want but history speaks for itself. when 2 teams meet in the same championship 3 times the team that lost the first 2 games is winning the 3rd one about 85% of the time


Where did you come up with this statistic?

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:11PM
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kyoh
Hitting Paint

Registered: Oct 2011
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Would be great for Horgan to finally break through, but I'm really hoping Homan wins!!

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:13PM
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UpYerKilt
Super Rockchucker

Registered: Mar 2003
Location: Kelowna
Posts: 4188

Out with the Old

Tracy knocking off the Middaugh Team is one of a couple of Stories now where new Teams are getting to the Tried and True teams

The fact she only lost two games all event and both were to Rachel..outscored 6-14...seems like she has one rung to move UP the Ladder
but I really doubt the Homan Team will let this happen.. they are just too talented, experienced and Motivated.

Best of Luck to whoever wins the ON title here!

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:17PM
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misty1
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Registered: Sep 2011
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Posts: 6002

Re: Re: Re: LOL

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan


Where did you come up with this statistic?



its a rough estimate based on the number of times this has happened.

of every time i can remember where 2 teams have met 3 times the vast majority of the time the team the lost the first 2 games won the 3rd...and ive been watching the game for a very long time

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:24PM
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CaptMorgan
Drawmaster

Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by misty1


its a rough estimate based on the number of times this has happened.

of every time i can remember where 2 teams have met 3 times the vast majority of the time the team the lost the first 2 games won the 3rd...and ive been watching the game for a very long time



Statistics are not based on "From what I remember..."

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:35PM
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misty1
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan


Statistics are not based on "From what I remember..."



thats why i said about, im not en idiot. Its something i made up myself with no raw numbers

this is not something that exists its just what i call it.

it is the case that the team going in having lost the previous 2 meetings is winnin the 3rd game most of the time. who knows why that is..perhaps familiarity with the other team's game,?

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:40PM
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CaptMorgan
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Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by misty1


thats why i said about, im not en idiot. Its something i made up myself with no raw numbers

this is not something that exists its just what i call it.

it is the case that the team going in having lost the previous 2 meetings is winnin the 3rd game most of the time. who knows why that is..perhaps familiarity with the other team's game,?



OK so that's your opinion. An opinion is not a statistic.
Your "85%" winning the 3rd game is an opinion.
I disagree with your opinion.
Homan's team is statistically better than Horgan. To think Horgan is "due" because it's their 3rd meeting goes against statistics.

"im not en idiot."
OK, again, your opinion.

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:47PM
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misty1
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan


OK so that's your opinion. An opinion is not a statistic.
Your "85%" winning the 3rd game is an opinion.
I disagree with your opinion.
Homan's team is statistically better than Horgan. To think Horgan is "due" because it's their 3rd meeting goes against statistics.

"im not en idiot."
OK, again, your opinion.



again, didnt say horgan was due for the win i said past patterns would indicate she had a good shot at it.

i never said tracy was guaranteed to win anything

and i just love how this place is so hostile. you think im an idiot based off one thing and knowing nothing else about me

just for the record i do think rachel should win it

Last edited by misty1 on 01-29-12 at 02:17PM

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Old Post 01-29-12 01:54PM
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CaptMorgan
Drawmaster

Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by misty1
you think im an idiot based off one thing and knowing nothing else about me


You made up statistics based on having watched games for a very long time.
You have said in the past that you have never curled and probably never will.
I have and your 85% is idiotic. Ergo 1+1=2.

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:29PM
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misty1
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan


You made up statistics based on having watched games for a very long time.
You have said in the past that you have never curled and probably never will.
I have and your 85% is idiotic. Ergo 1+1=2.



what is statistics anyway? everyone knows how to calculate a percentage , it really doesnt take a trained statician to do it. If i add a"of the games i've watched"then the statement is valid

all i was trying to say was that the pattern favors the teams that dropped the first 2 games.

by the way whether or not i have curled in the past really has nothing to do with the topic

Last edited by misty1 on 01-29-12 at 03:43PM

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:34PM
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CaptMorgan
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Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by misty1


so because i gave a % that makes me an idiot? whereas if i didnt and i had just said everything else i said i wouldnt be

all i was trying to say was that the pattern favors the teams that dropped the first 2 games.

by the way whether or not i have curled in the past really has nothing to do with the topic



You said I knew nothing about you. I know you have never curled.
Your statement that teams lose 85% of the time is made up. It's merely your opinion. If you want to use numbers, have the facts to back it up or expect to be questioned.

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:42PM
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misty1
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan


You said I knew nothing about you. I know you have never curled.
Your statement that teams lose 85% of the time is made up. It's merely your opinion. If you want to use numbers, have the facts to back it up or expect to be questioned.



the 85% was more a wild estimation on my part. I was just trying to better explaine the funny little pattern that i picked up on.Im not actually going to sit here and do the math

but point made and from now on i will stick away from using numbers

i just dont appreciate being called an idiot

Last edited by misty1 on 01-29-12 at 03:51PM

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:47PM
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misty1
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anyway. On topic now horgan gets an early lead over rachel with a force and a deuce after 2

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:51PM
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CaptMorgan
Drawmaster

Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by misty1


the 85% was more a wild estimation on my part. I was just trying to better explaine the funny little pattern that i picked up on

but point made and from now on i will stick away from using numbers

i just dont appreciate being called an idiot



Please go back and find where I called you that!
It was you who said it.
Just because I agreed with you is no reason to be mad at me.

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:51PM
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misty1
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Registered: Sep 2011
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Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by CaptMorgan



"im not en idiot."
OK, again, your opinion.



right here. you didnt say it outright but to me this is indirectly saying that you think i am an idiot.

i suggest we stop now thought, i have no desire to argue with anyone here anymore

i admit my using a number was the wrong way to try and explain what i was saying

Last edited by misty1 on 01-29-12 at 03:57PM

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:55PM
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CaptMorgan
Drawmaster

Registered: Feb 2009
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 900

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: LOL Is Right!!!

quote:
Originally posted by misty1


right here. you didnt say it outright but to me this is indirectly saying that you think i am an idiot.



Anyone stating statistics that they made up.....well..?

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Old Post 01-29-12 03:57PM
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5 to 2 after 5 for Homan

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Old Post 01-29-12 04:20PM
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misty1
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tracy pulls within 1 after 8

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Old Post 01-29-12 05:20PM
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kyoh
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Wtf happened to Homan's last!?!?

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Old Post 01-29-12 05:59PM
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Rachel jammed on her first with a double attempt.
Then drew a bit too heavy on her last

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Old Post 01-29-12 05:59PM
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kyoh
Hitting Paint

Registered: Oct 2011
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Holy sh*t I'm actually pretty shocked she lost!

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Old Post 01-29-12 06:05PM
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Sean
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Registered: Sep 2003
Location: Canada
Posts: 1992

Wow, I am absolutely shocked at this. Homan was in control of the entire game until her last stone came to rest. How disappointing for the four Ottawa girls

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Old Post 01-29-12 06:05PM
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UpYerKilt
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Registered: Mar 2003
Location: Kelowna
Posts: 4188

Thumbs up Too Bad!!

Don't care if the "ottawa" girls are disappointed..
the Horgan Team are celebrating and so they should be...you have to play the whole game..

Well done Tracy Horgan... exciting trip to Red Deer !!

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Old Post 01-29-12 06:24PM
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misty1
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Registered: Sep 2011
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once again for some reason that pattern continues..although i honestly thought rachel was going to break that and beat tracy after that series of steals.

She looked in control of the match and it has to be heartbreaking for rachel to lose the way that she did

however congrats to team horgan on the ontario title

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Old Post 01-29-12 06:25PM
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